Muğlasporvs
İstanbulspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muğlaspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Muğlaspor 2-0 İstanbulspor, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Muğlaspor 5-0 İstanbulspor
Original prediction
Muğlaspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 44.1% | 48.4% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.6% | 27.0% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 28.3% | 24.7% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Muğlaspor 2–0 İstanbulspor
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Muğlaspor
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Muğlaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MuğlasporWLDDD
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
İstanbulsporLLLWL
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Muğlasporİstanbulspor
39.4Attack27.3
57.6Defence21.2
45.5Form15.2
49.8Power25.1
2.13xG0.59