Mukuravs
Gasogi United
COMPLETEDRwanda · National Soccer League · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mukura · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mukura 2-0 Gasogi United
Original prediction
Mukura
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 39.8% | 38.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.1% | 29.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.1% | 32.0% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Mukura
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Mukura has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00