Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khalidiya · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Muharraq are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Khalidiya are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Khalidiya hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Premier League, while Khalidiya holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Khalidiya
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Khalidiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50