Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muharraq · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Muharraq 2-0 Gol Gohar
Original prediction
Muharraq
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.7% | 35.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.8% | 28.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.6% | 35.4% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Muharraq
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Muharraq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MuharraqDLWLD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Gol GoharWDWLL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MuharraqGol Gohar
0.0Attack0.0
66.7Defence100.0
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.37xG1.35