Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muharraq · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Muharraq are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Al Ahli are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Muharraq hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Premier League, while Muharraq holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Muharraq
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
12.1%
Muharraq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40