Mufulira Wanderersvs
Green Eagles
COMPLETEDZambia · Super League · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mufulira Wanderers 0-0 Green Eagles, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mufulira Wanderers 1-4 Green Eagles
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.4% | 34.6% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.59 | 35.0% | 36.5% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.6% | 28.8% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Mufulira Wanderers 0–0 Green Eagles
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mufulira WanderersLDLLW
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Green EaglesLLLWW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Mufulira WanderersGreen Eagles
29.4Attack31.4
69.6Defence66.7
44.1Form40.2
49.5Power49.1
0.65xG0.53