Muangthong Unitedvs
Police Tero
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muangthong United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Muangthong United 0-0 Police Tero, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Muangthong United 4-1 Police Tero
Original prediction
Muangthong United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.1% | 40.3% | -15.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.8% | 29.9% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 4.75 | 19.1% | 29.8% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.8 pts
Projected Score
Muangthong United 0–0 Police Tero
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Muangthong United
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Muangthong United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60