Muang Loei Unitedvs
Kanchanaburi
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/17/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muang Loei United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Muang Loei United 1-1 Kanchanaburi
Original prediction
Muang Loei United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 31.9% | 38.9% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.6% | 27.2% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.5% | 33.8% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Muang Loei United
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Muang Loei United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80