Muang Loei Unitedvs
Esan Pattaya
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muang Loei United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Muang Loei United 2-2 Esan Pattaya
Original prediction
Muang Loei United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.7% | 42.3% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.3% | 29.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.0% | 28.4% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Muang Loei United
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Muang Loei United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/0.50
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40