GGOALVIO

Qatar · Stars League · 9/1/2023, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Muaither SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Muaither SC are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 1.75 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Al-Markhiya are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Muaither SC hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (31.9 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Stars League, while Muaither SC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Muaither SC

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

57.4%

Muaither SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Muaither SCLLWW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.75/2.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 4/4
Al-MarkhiyaLL

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Muaither SCAl-Markhiya
49.2Attack30.2
15.9Defence22.2
22.2Form27.0
31.9Power29.5
2.53xG1.42
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