GGOALVIO

Qatar · QSL Cup · 9/22/2026, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Khor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Muaither SC 2-0 Al-Khor

Original prediction

Al-Khor

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1242.5%35.1%-7.4 pts
Draw3.5125.7%24.7%-1.0 pts
Away2.8331.8%40.2%8.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Al-Khor

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Al-Khor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Muaither SCWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al-KhorWLLLW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Muaither SCAl-Khor
33.3Attack46.7
20.0Defence33.3
0.0Form26.7
21.7Power36.2
1.47xG1.79
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