GGOALVIO

Turkey · 2. Lig · 10/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Muş Sport Klübü · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Muş Sport Klübü 4-2 Ankaraspor

Original prediction

Muş Sport Klübü

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4462.5%64.4%1.9 pts
Draw4.2221.3%20.3%-1.1 pts
Away5.5916.1%15.3%-0.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–013%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.3–010%

Predicted outcome

Muş Sport Klübü

Probability

64.4%

Model confidence

64.4%

Muş Sport Klübü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Muş Sport KlübüWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AnkarasporLWLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Muş Sport KlübüAnkaraspor
88.9Attack22.2
61.1Defence55.6
88.9Form33.3
80.5Power40.0
2.27xG0.74
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