Muş Sport Klübüvs
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muş Sport Klübü · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Muş Sport Klübü 3-2 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Original prediction
Muş Sport Klübü
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.2% | 46.7% | -15.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 21.8% | 24.5% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 5.62 | 16.0% | 28.8% | 12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Muş Sport Klübü
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Muş Sport Klübü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00