Mátészalkavs
Cigand SE
COMPLETEDHungary · NB III - Northeast · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cigand SE · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mátészalka 0-1 Cigand SE
Original prediction
Cigand SE
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.43 | 20.3% | 14.5% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 21.8% | 18.1% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 57.8% | 67.3% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Cigand SE
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
67.3%
Cigand SE has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60