MTK Budapestvs
Vasas
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 10/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
MTK Budapest 1-0 Vasas
Original prediction
Vasas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.9% | 32.7% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.0% | 26.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 35.1% | 40.5% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Vasas
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Vasas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MTK BudapestLLWLD
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VasasDWWWL
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
MTK BudapestVasas
55.6Attack66.7
37.0Defence55.6
33.3Form55.6
43.4Power59.0
1.53xG2.32