Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 1 July 2026Last updated 10:01
MTK Budapest

MTK Budapest

Home
W
31
Full time
Vasas

Vasas

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

MTK Budapest39%
Vasas32%
Draw29%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: MTK Budapest
Win probability
MTK Budapest
39%
Draw
29%
Vasas
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
MTK Budapest
94
Vasas
34
Defence
MTK Budapest
66
Vasas
6
Momentum
MTK Budapest
100
Vasas
0
Danger (xG)
MTK Budapest
2.70
Vasas
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (MTK Budapest)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Vasas)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (MTK Budapest)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Vasas)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MTK BudapestMTK Budapest
WD
VasasVasas
LW

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
MTK Budapest39%
Draw29%
Vasas32%

MTK Budapest leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

MTK Budapest head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Vasas arrive in mixed form (L). MTK Budapest have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Vasas over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. MTK Budapest's elite attack (94/100) faces a vulnerable Vasas defence (6/100), while Vasas's attack is up against a solid MTK Budapest backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in MTK Budapest's favour.

MTK Budapest have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Vasas have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

MTK Budapest have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects MTK Budapest to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: MTK Budapest 3940%, Draw 2860%, Vasas 3190%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

MTK Budapest 1Draws 00 Vasas
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
1 Jul 2026
MTK Budapest
W31
Vasas

Recent form

MTK Budapest

MTK Budapest

W
vs Vasas
1 Jul 2026
31
D
@ Puskas Academy
15 May 2026
22
Vasas

Vasas

L
@ MTK Budapest
1 Jul 2026
13
W
vs Ajka
17 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win MTK Budapest vs Vasas?

GoalVio's model predicts MTK Budapest to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for MTK Budapest vs Vasas?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in MTK Budapest vs Vasas?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in MTK Budapest vs Vasas?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more