GGOALVIO

MTK Budapest logoMTK BudapestvsPaks logoPaks

COMPLETED

Hungary · NB I · 7/28/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MTK Budapest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

MTK Budapest are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Paks are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and MTK Budapest hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the NB I, while MTK Budapest holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MTK Budapest

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

MTK Budapest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MTK BudapestWDWLL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PaksWWLLW

GF 17 · GA 16 · avg 3.40/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
MTK BudapestPaks
88.9Attack88.9
33.3Defence0.0
44.4Form44.4
54.9Power45.9
2.49xG1.86
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