MTK Budapestvs
Paks
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 7/28/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MTK Budapest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
MTK Budapest are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Paks are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and MTK Budapest hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the NB I, while MTK Budapest holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MTK Budapest
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
MTK Budapest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 17 · GA 16 · avg 3.40/3.20