GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB I · 8/11/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MTK Budapest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

MTK Budapest are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kisvarda FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and MTK Budapest hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the NB I, while MTK Budapest holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MTK Budapest

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

MTK Budapest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MTK BudapestLDWDW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kisvarda FCLWDWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MTK BudapestKisvarda FC
88.9Attack55.6
33.3Defence44.4
44.4Form44.4
54.9Power49.5
2.12xG1.61
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