GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB I · 8/19/2023, 3:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MTK Budapest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

MTK Budapest are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kecskeméti TE are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and MTK Budapest hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the NB I, while MTK Budapest holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MTK Budapest

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

MTK Budapest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MTK BudapestDLDWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kecskeméti TEWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MTK BudapestKecskeméti TE
88.9Attack45.5
33.3Defence54.5
44.4Form45.5
54.9Power50.0
1.83xG1.40
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