GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MTK Budapest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

MTK Budapest are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Fehérvár FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and MTK Budapest hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while MTK Budapest holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MTK Budapest

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

MTK Budapest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MTK BudapestWDLLL

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fehérvár FCWDDLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MTK BudapestFehérvár FC
59.5Attack41.7
52.4Defence50.0
52.4Form37.5
56.0Power43.5
2.06xG1.14
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