GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB III - Southwest · 8/13/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MTK Budapest II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

MTK Budapest II are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LDLL), averaging 1.75 scored and 2.75 conceded, while Szekszárd are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and MTK Budapest II hold a 57.3-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 4.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the NB III - Southwest, while MTK Budapest II holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MTK Budapest II

Probability

59.3%

Model confidence

59.3%

MTK Budapest II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MTK Budapest IILDLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.75/2.75

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
SzekszárdLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
MTK Budapest IISzekszárd
100.0Attack0.0
58.3Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
62.2Power4.9
3.29xG0.99
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