GGOALVIO

Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 8/20/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Coastal Union · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mtibwa Sugar are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Coastal Union are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mtibwa Sugar hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Ligi kuu Bara, while Coastal Union holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Coastal Union

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

Coastal Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mtibwa SugarL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/4.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Coastal UnionLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Mtibwa SugarCoastal Union
33.3Attack0.0
40.0Defence66.7
23.3Form0.0
34.4Power23.7
0.94xG1.30
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