GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB III - Northwest · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MTE 1904 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

MTE 1904 3-0 Gyori ETO II

Original prediction

MTE 1904

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6753.8%42.5%-11.2 pts
Draw3.7623.8%27.4%3.5 pts
Away4.0022.4%30.1%7.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-11.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

MTE 1904

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

MTE 1904 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MTE 1904DLLDL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Gyori ETO IILLWDD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MTE 1904Gyori ETO II
50.0Attack50.0
60.0Defence60.0
50.0Form46.7
53.5Power53.6
1.31xG1.11
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