Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorogi FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
MTE 1904 0-1 Dorogi FC
Original prediction
Dorogi FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 36.5% | 32.4% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.0% | 27.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.5% | 40.3% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Dorogi FC
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Dorogi FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MTE 1904DLDWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dorogi FCWLWLW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MTE 1904Dorogi FC
58.3Attack100.0
70.8Defence75.0
62.5Form79.2
63.8Power79.7
1.16xG1.51