Mt Druitt Townvs
Northern Tigers
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL 2 · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Northern Tigers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mt Druitt Town 0-3 Northern Tigers
Original prediction
Northern Tigers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.10 | 29.1% | 16.0% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.9% | 17.9% | -6.0 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 47.0% | 66.1% | 19.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Northern Tigers
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
66.1%
Northern Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60