New South Wales NPL 2New South Wales NPL 2
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Mt Druitt Town

Mt Druitt Town

Home
D
32
Full time
Newcastle Jets II

Newcastle Jets II

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Mt Druitt Town(37%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Mt Druitt Town
37%
Draw
35%
Newcastle Jets II
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Mt Druitt Town
34
Newcastle Jets II
94
Defence
Mt Druitt Town
66
Newcastle Jets II
66
Momentum
Mt Druitt Town
33
Newcastle Jets II
100
Danger (xG)
Mt Druitt Town
0.90
Newcastle Jets II
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Mt Druitt Town)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Newcastle Jets II)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Mt Druitt Town)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Newcastle Jets II)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Mt Druitt TownMt Druitt Town
D
Newcastle Jets IINewcastle Jets II
W

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Mt Druitt Town37%
Draw35%
Newcastle Jets II28%

Mt Druitt Town leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Mt Druitt Town head into this in New South Wales NPL 2 fixture in mixed form (D), while Newcastle Jets II arrive in mixed form (W). Mt Druitt Town have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Newcastle Jets II over 1 games.

Tactically, Newcastle Jets II hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a solid Mt Druitt Town defence (66/100), while Mt Druitt Town's attack faces a solid Newcastle Jets II backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Mt Druitt Town have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Newcastle Jets II have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Mt Druitt Town and Newcastle Jets II in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Mt Druitt Town to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Mt Druitt Town 3721%, Draw 3500%, Newcastle Jets II 2779%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Mt Druitt Town

Mt Druitt Town

D
@ Northern Tigers
16 May 2026
11
Newcastle Jets II

Newcastle Jets II

W
@ Bankstown City Lions
15 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Mt Druitt Town vs Newcastle Jets II?

GoalVio's model predicts Mt Druitt Town to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Mt Druitt Town vs Newcastle Jets II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Mt Druitt Town vs Newcastle Jets II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mt Druitt Town vs Newcastle Jets II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more