GGOALVIO

Australia · Australia Cup · 8/4/2023, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mt Druitt Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Mt Druitt Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Canberra FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Mt Druitt Town hold a 30.5-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Australia Cup, while Mt Druitt Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mt Druitt Town

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Mt Druitt Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mt Druitt TownLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Canberra FCWDLWD

GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mt Druitt TownCanberra FC
50.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
45.8Power15.3
2.32xG1.55
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