GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 8/19/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

TSV 1860 Munich · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

MSV Duisburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while TSV 1860 Munich are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and TSV 1860 Munich hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the 3. Liga, while TSV 1860 Munich holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

TSV 1860 Munich

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

TSV 1860 Munich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MSV DuisburgDWLLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TSV 1860 MunichWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MSV DuisburgTSV 1860 Munich
36.0Attack35.1
43.0Defence63.2
29.8Form40.4
38.7Power47.6
0.85xG1.15
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