GGOALVIO

MSV Duisburg logoMSV DuisburgvsSV Elversberg logoSV Elversberg

SCHEDULED

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/22/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MSV Duisburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

MSV Duisburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SV Elversberg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the DFB Pokal, favouring MSV Duisburg with 13.5% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MSV Duisburg

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

13.5%

MSV Duisburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MSV DuisburgWDDWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SV ElversbergDWLWD

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MSV DuisburgSV Elversberg
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24
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