GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Würzburger Kickers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

MSV Duisburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Würzburger Kickers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Würzburger Kickers hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the 3. Liga, while Würzburger Kickers holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Würzburger Kickers

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

12.2%

Würzburger Kickers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MSV DuisburgWWDDL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Würzburger KickersWDWWL

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MSV DuisburgWürzburger Kickers
36.0Attack66.7
43.0Defence33.3
29.8Form33.3
38.7Power45.3
1.25xG1.74
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