Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Móstoles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Móstoles 3-0 Galapagar
Original prediction
Móstoles
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Móstoles
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Móstoles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MóstolesLDWWW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GalapagarWLWDW
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
MóstolesGalapagar
33.3Attack66.7
83.3Defence66.7
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power80.3
1.64xG1.64