Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MSP Batna · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: MSP Batna 0-0 MO Bejaia, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
MSP Batna 1-0 MO Bejaia
Original prediction
MSP Batna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 03:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.4% | 39.6% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 31.5% | 30.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.1% | 29.5% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Projected Score
MSP Batna 0–0 MO Bejaia
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
MSP Batna
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
MSP Batna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MSP BatnaWWWDD
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MO BejaiaWLWDD
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MSP BatnaMO Bejaia
40.0Attack50.0
80.0Defence75.0
73.3Form58.3
68.4Power62.0
0.99xG0.83