MSP Batnavs
CR Béni Thour
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 2 · 10/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MSP Batna · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: MSP Batna 1-0 CR Béni Thour, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
MSP Batna 2-1 CR Béni Thour
Original prediction
MSP Batna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 67.1% | 47.3% | -19.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.1% | 28.6% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 8.26 | 10.8% | 24.1% | 13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.8 pts
Projected Score
MSP Batna 1–0 CR Béni Thour
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
MSP Batna
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
MSP Batna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MSP BatnaWDDWW
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CR Béni ThourLLWLD
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MSP BatnaCR Béni Thour
22.2Attack33.3
88.9Defence16.7
55.6Form0.0
59.1Power21.5
1.31xG0.75