MSK Tesla Stropkovvs
Lipany
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 3. liga - East · 9/27/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lipany · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
MSK Tesla Stropkov 1-1 Lipany
Original prediction
Lipany
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 46.8% | 33.4% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.8% | 23.8% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.4% | 42.8% | 15.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Lipany
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Lipany has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00