1. Liga1. Liga
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Mārupe

Mārupe

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04
Full time
Metta / LU

Metta / LU

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Draw(35%)
Win probability
Mārupe
31%
Draw
35%
Metta / LU
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Metta / LU)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Metta / LU)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Metta / LUMetta / LU
WWWL

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Mārupe31%
Draw35%
Metta / LU34%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Mārupe head into this in 1. Liga fixture in unknown form, while Metta / LU arrive in mixed form (W).

Mārupe have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Metta / LU have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Mārupe and Metta / LU in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 38% confidence. Win probabilities: Mārupe 3148%, Draw 3500%, Metta / LU 3352%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Metta / LU

Metta / LU

W
vs Spēks
10 Jul 2026
31
W
@ Leevon / PPK
28 Jun 2026
31
W
vs JDFS Alberts
16 May 2026
41
L
@ Rīgas FS
5 Oct 2025
15

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Mārupe vs Metta / LU?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Mārupe vs Metta / LU?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Mārupe vs Metta / LU?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mārupe vs Metta / LU?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more