Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 28 July 2026Last updated 14:55
Mérida AD

Mérida AD

Home
D
02
Full time
Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Al-Nassr33%
Mérida AD33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Mérida AD
33%
Draw
33%
Al-Nassr
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Mérida AD
34
Al-Nassr
9
Defence
Mérida AD
66
Al-Nassr
66
Momentum
Mérida AD
33
Al-Nassr
0
Danger (xG)
Mérida AD
0.90
Al-Nassr
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Mérida AD)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Al-Nassr)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Mérida AD)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Al-Nassr)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Mérida ADMérida AD
D
Al-NassrAl-Nassr
LD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Mérida AD33%
Draw33%
Al-Nassr33%

Al-Nassr leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Mérida AD head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (D), while Al-Nassr arrive in mixed form (L). Mérida AD have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Al-Nassr over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Mérida AD (66/100) and Al-Nassr (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Mérida AD have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Al-Nassr have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Mérida AD and Al-Nassr in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Mérida AD 3333%, Draw 3333%, Al-Nassr 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Mérida AD

Mérida AD

D
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
17 May 2026
11
Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr

L
vs Gamba Osaka
16 May 2026
01
D
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
12 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Mérida AD vs Al-Nassr?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Mérida AD vs Al-Nassr?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Mérida AD vs Al-Nassr?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mérida AD vs Al-Nassr?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more