Ümraniyesporvs
Sivasspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/24/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ümraniyespor 0-0 Sivasspor, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ümraniyespor 4-0 Sivasspor
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.3% | 34.4% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.3% | 31.7% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.4% | 33.9% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Projected Score
Ümraniyespor 0–0 Sivasspor
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.7%
Model confidence
34.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ÜmraniyesporWLDWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SivassporDDWDD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 1/5
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
27.3Attack45.5
66.7Defence57.6
30.3Form39.4
43.7Power49.2
0.73xG0.84