Ümraniyesporvs
Sarıyer
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ümraniyespor 0-0 Sarıyer, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ümraniyespor 1-1 Sarıyer
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.9% | 31.8% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.8% | 31.2% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.3% | 37.0% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.16 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Projected Score
Ümraniyespor 0–0 Sarıyer
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.2%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ÜmraniyesporWLLLD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SarıyerWDLWW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ÜmraniyesporSarıyer
25.0Attack45.8
62.5Defence62.5
25.0Form58.3
40.5Power57.3
0.72xG1.05