Ümraniyesporvs
Muğlaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ümraniyespor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ümraniyespor 0-1 Muğlaspor
Original prediction
Ümraniyespor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.6% | 37.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.4% | 29.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 33.0% | 33.5% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Ümraniyespor
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Ümraniyespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40