Ümraniyesporvs
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Türkiye Kupası · 10/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ümraniyespor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ümraniyespor 2-1 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
Original prediction
Ümraniyespor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 01:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 68.7% | 42.2% | -26.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.25 | 17.0% | 24.7% | 7.7 pts |
| Away | 6.25 | 14.3% | 33.1% | 18.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Ümraniyespor
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Ümraniyespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00