GGOALVIO

Turkey · 1. Lig · 8/19/2023, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Göztepe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Ümraniyespor are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 0.25 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Göztepe are 0W-3D-1L in their last 4 (LDDD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Göztepe hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 68.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.2% in the 1. Lig, while Göztepe holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Göztepe

Probability

54.2%

Model confidence

54.2%

Göztepe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ÜmraniyesporLLDL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.25/1.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
GöztepeLDDD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 0/4
ÜmraniyesporGöztepe
0.0Attack58.8
100.0Defence80.4
33.3Form68.6
45.3Power68.9
0.70xG1.56
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