Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Ümraniyespor

Ümraniyespor

Home
L
15
Full time
Galatasaray

Galatasaray

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Galatasaray33%
Ümraniyespor33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Galatasaray
Win probability
Ümraniyespor
33%
Draw
33%
Galatasaray
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ümraniyespor
34
Galatasaray
100
Defence
Ümraniyespor
0
Galatasaray
66
Momentum
Ümraniyespor
0
Galatasaray
100
Danger (xG)
Ümraniyespor
0.90
Galatasaray
4.50
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Ümraniyespor)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Galatasaray)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Ümraniyespor)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Galatasaray)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
L
GalatasarayGalatasaray
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Ümraniyespor33%
Draw33%
Galatasaray33%

Galatasaray leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Ümraniyespor head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Galatasaray arrive in mixed form (W). Ümraniyespor have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Galatasaray over 1 games.

Tactically, Galatasaray hold the edge. Their elite attack (100/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Ümraniyespor defence (0/100), while Ümraniyespor's attack faces a solid Galatasaray backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Ümraniyespor have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 5.0 conceded per home match. Galatasaray have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 5.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Galatasaray have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 6.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Ümraniyespor to win with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Ümraniyespor 3333%, Draw 3333%, Galatasaray 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Ümraniyespor 0Draws 01 Galatasaray
Avg goals: 6.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Ümraniyespor
L15
Galatasaray

Recent form

Ümraniyespor

Ümraniyespor

L
vs Galatasaray
17 Jul 2026
15
Galatasaray

Galatasaray

W
@ Ümraniyespor
17 Jul 2026
51

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Galatasaray?

GoalVio's model predicts Ümraniyespor to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ümraniyespor vs Galatasaray?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Ümraniyespor vs Galatasaray?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ümraniyespor vs Galatasaray?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more