Ümraniyesporvs
Erokspor
SCHEDULEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 8/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ümraniyespor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ümraniyespor are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Erokspor are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 1. Lig, favouring Ümraniyespor with 14.3% confidence, a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ümraniyespor
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
14.3%
Ümraniyespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80