Ümraniyesporvs
Boluspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ümraniyespor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ümraniyespor 1-0 Boluspor, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ümraniyespor 0-1 Boluspor
Original prediction
Ümraniyespor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 63.6% | 49.3% | -14.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.1% | 28.0% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 6.36 | 14.3% | 22.7% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Projected Score
Ümraniyespor 1–0 Boluspor
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Ümraniyespor
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Ümraniyespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ÜmraniyesporDWLLL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BolusporLLLDL
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ÜmraniyesporBoluspor
25.9Attack11.1
63.0Defence22.2
25.9Form3.7
41.3Power16.5
1.44xG0.55