Ümraniyesporvs
Antalyaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ümraniyespor 1-2 Antalyaspor
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 31.7% | 35.0% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.6% | 29.5% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.7% | 35.5% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ÜmraniyesporLLDDL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AntalyasporLWLLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ÜmraniyesporAntalyaspor
22.2Attack50.0
61.1Defence33.3
16.7Form33.3
36.5Power41.9
1.28xG1.16