Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
MP are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Turku PS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40