Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
MP are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Turku PS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20