MPvs
SJK Akatemia
SCHEDULEDFinland · Ykkösliiga · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
MP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while SJK Akatemia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and MP hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40