MPvs
SJK Akatemia
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkösliiga · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MP · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: MP 1-0 SJK Akatemia, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
MP 1-1 SJK Akatemia
Original prediction
MP
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.1% | 52.5% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.4% | 25.9% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.70 | 24.5% | 21.6% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Projected Score
MP 1–0 SJK Akatemia
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
MP
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
MP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MPWLLLL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SJK AkatemiaLLLWL
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MPSJK Akatemia
36.4Attack19.7
50.0Defence45.5
36.4Form18.2
43.4Power31.0
1.34xG0.73