Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
MP are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while PK-35 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
17.9%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20