Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
MP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while PK-35 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80